Keywords = Outbreak

A Multicentric Molecular Study on the Conjunctivitis Outbreak in Delhi: Keeping an Eye on “Pink Eye”

Volume 8, Issue 4, Autumn 2023, Pages 362-368

https://doi.org/10.30491/hpr.2024.429955.1410

Gopal Krushna Das, Bineeta Kashyap, Ashish Bahal, Pooja Yadav, Babli Singh, Neha Singh, Sharanya .

Abstract Background: Hospitals in the national capital were staring at the rising cases of pink eye, more than 100 of which had been daily hitting the outpatient departments of major hospitals in Delhi during the month of July 2023. Outbreaks of Conjunctivitis are common globally, with people across all age and socio-economic status getting affected.
Objectives: The aim of the study was to do a molecular analysis on the etiology in cases of epidemic keratoconjunctivitis.
Methods: A multicentric prospective observational study was carried out during the outbreak of conjunctivitis in Delhi. The clinical samples were processed by polymerase chain reaction for common etiology of acute keratoconjunctivitis.
Results: Adenoviral etiology was witnessed in 8.3% of cases, while no other bacterial or viral etiology could be documented.
Conclusion: Studying the etiological pattern of any outbreak of infections can provide insights into the prevalent transmissible pathogens and help in future preparedness.

The Performance of Some Outbreak Detection Algorithms: Using the Reported COVID-19 cases in Iran

Volume 8, Issue 1, Winter 2023, Pages 212-216

https://doi.org/10.30491/hpr.2023.182070

Mojtaba Sepandi, Yousef Alimohamadi, Mousa Imani

Abstract Background: Outbreak detection algorithms could play a key role in public health surveillance.
Objectives: This study aimed to compare the performance of three algorithms (EWMA, Cumulative Sum (CUSUM), and Poisson Regression) using the reported COVID-19 data for outbreak detection.
Methods: Three outbreak detection algorithms were applied to the data of COVID-19 daily new cases in Iran between 19/02/2020 and 20/06/2022, and 344 simulated outbreak days were injected into the data sequences. The Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) Curve (AUC) and its 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were also computed.
Results: EWMA9 had the lowest AUC (51%). Among the different algorithms, EWMA9 with λ = 0.9 and CUSUM 1 had the highest sensitivity with 100 and 87% (95% CI: 84%-91%), respectively.
Conclusion: According to the results, CUSUM, EWMA, and poison regression showed appropriate performance in detecting the COVID-19 outbreaks. These algorithms can be extremely helpful for health practitioners and policymakers in the detection of infectious disease outbreaks.

Viral Etiological Factors Causing Acute Encephalitis Syndrome (AES) In Gaya Division, India

Volume 4, Issue 3, Summer 2019, Pages 92-96

https://doi.org/10.15171/hpr.2019.18

Roshan Kamal Topno, Krishna Pandey, Banke Bihari Singh, Manas Ranjan Dikhit, Ashish Kumar, Maneesh Kumar, Ganesh Chandra Sahoo, Vidya Nand Rabidas, Niyamat Ali Siddiqui, Wakil Paswan, Arjun Lal, Diwakar Singh Dinesh, Pradeep Das

Abstract Background: From Gaya and adjoining regions, the trend in patients admitted with acute neurological illness was investigated. Illnesses were identified as sudden outbreaks of Japanese virus encephalitis (JE), Herpes simplex virus encephalitis (HSV-1&2), and other acute encephalitis syndrome (AES).
Objective: In the current study, an investigation was carried out to assess potential infectious pathogens in patients aged 16 years or younger who were admitted to Anugrah Narayan Magadh Memorial Medical College Hospital, Gaya, with encephalitis-like symptoms.
Methods: Cross-epidemiological, serological, and molecular biological studies were performed on samples collected from 71 patients below 16 years of age. Patients’ clinical histories, i.e. fever, socio-demographic characteristics, and other clinical data, were extracted from patient files.
Results: The results showed confirmed AES cases, including 49.30% JE and 7.04% HSV positive patients. A higher case-fatality rate of 40% in JE and 40% HSV cases below 7 years of age were observed during treatment would become an unavoidable concern. The epidemical sex ratio was observed to be higher in girls than in boys (1.26:1).
Conclusion: The results suggested that JE virus was found to be a main causative risk factor responsible for disease transmission in the outbreak area.